Rare Book Monthly

Articles - July - 2011 Issue

Who knew?

According to the AED the Republican candidate for President of the United States

According to the AED the Republican candidate for President of the United States

The race for the Republican nomination has barely begun and already the results are in.  The AED is now ready to predict the winner.  To add suspense I will list hopefuls in alphabetical order and then pick them off like crows on a power line.

Bachmann

Cain

Gingrich

Huntsman

Johnson

Karger     
       

Martin 
           

McMillan

Moore

Palin

Paul

Pawlenty

Roemer

Romney

Santorum

Trump    
        

The calculus is based on the number of times these candidates' last names appear in the AED, the Americana Exchange Database.  The AED, as friend and foe know it, is 3.2 million full text records of auction, bibliographic and dealer records of books, manuscripts, maps and ephemera offered or described over the past one hundred and fifty years.  My theory is that candidates with more familiar names have a better chance of winning the nomination than candidates whose names rarely or never appear in the AED.  As George Bush might say it, the AED is the decider.

On this basis candidate Pawlenty [0] is toast, sitting so far down in the penalty box that the only one who can even see him is candidate Santorum [3]. In the same August surroundings is Sarah Palin whose lack of literary ancestors will cause her to hold on to her position at Fox.  Not surprisingly Candidate Karger at 64 isn’t going to be giving an acceptance speech at the nominating convention either.  Neither will Newt Gingrich at 140, Buddy Roemer at 157, or Donald Trump at 184.  Candidate McMillan, the perennial candidate from New York barely moves the dial at 301.  Michele Bachmann, at 490, will be remaining in Congress, Huntsman at 778 going back to China.  In fact all these folks need to keep their day jobs.

Herman Cain, the former Federal Reserve banker from Georgia actually moves our dial with a count of 1,701.  Just ahead Mitt Romney, at 2056 does even better although neither does well.


Posted On: 2011-07-01 00:00
User Name: scientiabk

The only problem with this "analysis" is that Ron Paul has been a candidate before. So why wasn't he the nominee in previous campaigns?


Posted On: 2011-07-02 00:00
User Name: Renaiss7

I think this is definitely a tongue-in-cheek report. Well done! The 77,000 references to Paul include many where Paul is the first name, e.g. Paul


Rare Book Monthly

  • Swann, June 12: Lot 3:
    Thomas McKenney and James Hall, History of the Indian Tribes of North America, 1848-1854. Estimate $3,000 to $4,000.
    Swann, June 12: Lot 8:
    Invoice to the Town of Boston for advertising pre-revolutionary content in the Boston Post Boy, manuscript document, Boston, July 1768. Estimate $5,000 to $7,500.
    Swann, June 12: Lot 13:
    Clairac and Nicola, L'Ingenieur de Campagne; or, Field
    Swann, June 12: Lot 81:
    Journals of Major Robert Rogers . . . of the Several Excursions he Made . . . upon the Continent of North America, London, 1765. Estimate $4,000 to $6,000.
    Swann, June 12: Lot 99:
    Photograph albums and papers from the family of W.G. Fargo, photo albums containing 442 photographs, 1865-88. Estimate $3,000 to $4,000.
    Swann, June 12: Lot 112:
    Isaac Leeser, Discourses on the Jewish Religion, 10 volumes, Philadelphia: Sherman & Co., 1866-1868. Estimate $6,000 to $9,000.
    Swann, June 12: Lot 176:
    Frederick Douglass, Narrative of the Life of Frederick Douglass, an American Slave, Boston, 1845. Estimate $4,000 to $6,000.
    Swann, June 12: Lot 190:
    Thomas Hariot, Admiranda narratio fida tamen, de commodis et incolarum ritibus Virginiae, 1590. Estimate $25,000 to $35,000.
    Swann, June 12: Lot 200:
    Correspondence of a regimental cavalry commander in Wyoming and Utah, July 1865 to February 1866. Estimate $4,000 to $6,000.
    Swann, June 12: Lot 226:
    Maturino Gilberti, Vocabulario en lengua de Mechuacan / Aqui comienca el vocabulario en la lengua Castellana y Mechuacana, 1559. Estimate $8,000 to $12,000.
  • Sotheby's
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    5-19 June
    Sotheby’s, June 5-19: Bissière, Roger. Cantique à notre frère soleil de saint François. 1954. 1,000 - 1,500 EUR
    Sotheby’s, June 5-19: Céline, Louis-Ferdinand. La vie & l’œuvre de Philippe Ignace Semmelweis. 1924. Rare édition originale, avec envoi. Joint : La Quinine en thérapeutique, 1925. 4,000 - 6,000 EUR
    Sotheby’s, June 5-19: Céline, Louis-Ferdinand. Mort à crédit. 1936. Édition originale. Bel exemplaire sur Hollande. 2,500 - 3,500 EUR
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    Bibliothèque Jacques Dauchez - Autour de Dubuffet
    5-19 June
    Sotheby’s, June 5-19: Chillida, Eduardo ─ Emil Cioran. Face aux instants. 1985. Un des 100 exemplaires sur Arches. Eau-forte signée. 600 - 800 EUR
    Sotheby’s, June 5-19: Dubuffet, Jean. Ler dla canpane. L’Art Brut, 1948. Édition originale. 3,000 - 5,000 EUR
    Sotheby’s, June 5-19: Dubuffet, Jean. L'Herne Jean Dubuffet. 1973. Un des 100 exemplaires du tirage de luxe avec une sérigraphie originale en couleurs. 1,000 - 1,500 EUR
  • Gros & Delettrez
    Livres & Manuscrits Arméniens
    Jeudi 12 juin 2025
    Paris, Francis
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: BIBLE, Venise 1733, reliure arménienne
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: CHARAKNOTS, manuscrit XVIIe-XVIIIe siècle
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: CHARAKNOTS, manuscrit daté 1606, reliure arménienne
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: CHARAKNOTS, manuscrit début XVIIIe siècle, reliure arménienne
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: CHARAKNOTS, Amsterdam 1664
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: CHARAKNOTS, Amsterdam 1702, reliure arménienne
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: DICTIONNAIRE arménien, manuscrit XVIIe-XVIIIe siècle.
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: EVANGILE, manuscrit 1735-1737, reliure arménienne
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: LIVRE DE PRIERES, Grégoire de Narek, manuscrit
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: GEOGRAPHIE, Ghoukas INDJIDJIAN, Venise 1802-1806
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: MANUSCRIT THEOLOGIQUE, XVIe-XVIIe siècle
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: MASHTOTS, manuscrit XVIIIe-XIXe siècle, reliure arménienne
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: LETTRE ENCYCLIQUE, manuscrit XIXe siècle
    Gros & Delettrez, June 12: NOUVEAU TESTAMENT, Amsterdam 1668, reliure arménienne
  • Rose City Book & Paper Fair
    June 14-15, 2025
    1000 NE Multnomah, Portland
    ROSECITYBOOKFAIR.COM

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