For Printed Materials: The Probability of Appearance
- by Bruce E. McKinney
An obtainable early imprint
Munsell's 1834-40 Printings by Number
of Pages and Size of Print Run
Print runs/Number of pages
1 to 16 Pages
17 to 71 Pages
72 + Pages
400 or less Copies
6
11
0
401 to 1000
6
15
4
1,001 to 4,000
3
4
3
4000+
1
1
1
Let's look at statistics comparing the number of pages to the number of copies located in the OCLC. For works of at least 72 pages the survival rate in the OCLC is 1 in 184. Thus if a 1,000 copies were printed and the item had at least 72 pages we can estimate there will be 5 or 6 copies in the OCLC. For material, mostly pamphlets, with 17 to 71 pages the survival rate is 1 in 221, for pamphlets of 16 pages or less 1 in 502. When few copies were printed and the item had 16 pages or less the likelihood of survival is very small. When the print run as well as the number of pages is small we see mass extinction.
Munsell's 1834-40 Printings in the OCLC Analyzed by Number of Pages and Size
of Print Run, Divided into Present and Not Present and Expressed as Percentages
Publications & Copies
1 to 16 Pages
17 to 71 Pages
72 + Pages
present
not present
present
not present
present
not present
400 or less Copies
33%
67%
36%
64%
401 to 1000
28%
72%
63%
37%
80%
20%
1,001 to 4,000
100%
0%
100%
0%
100%
0%
4000+
0%
100%
0%
100%
Both small print run and small page count are strong nagatives for survival. Such material is automatically uncommon although not necessarily important or valuable. Most examples are simply curiosities.
High Bids Win Rare Books, Catalogs, Magazines and Machine Manuals December 24 to January 9
High Bids Win Rare Books, Catalogs, Magazines and Machine Manuals December 24 to January 9
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: Ellis Smith Prints unsigned. 20” by 16”.
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: United typothetae of America presidents. Pictures of 37 UTA presidents 46th annual convention United typothetae of America Cincinnati 1932.
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: Henri de Toulouse-Lautrec signed Paper Impressionism Art Prints. MayMilton 9 1/2” by 13” Reine de Joie 9 1/2” by 13”.
High Bids Win Rare Books, Catalogs, Magazines and Machine Manuals December 24 to January 9
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: Aberle’ Ballet editions. 108th triumph, American season spring and summer 1944.
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: Puss ‘n Boots. 1994 Charles Perrult All four are signed by Andreas Deja
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: Specimen book of type faces. Job composition department, Philadelphia gazette publishing company .
High Bids Win Rare Books, Catalogs, Magazines and Machine Manuals December 24 to January 9
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: An exhibit of printed books, Bridwell library.
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur Court By Mark Twain 1889.
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: 1963 Philadelphia Eagles official program.
High Bids Win Rare Books, Catalogs, Magazines and Machine Manuals December 24 to January 9
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: 8 - Esquire the magazine for men 1954.
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: The American printer, July 1910.
High Bids Win, Dec. 24 – Jan. 9: Leaves of grass 1855 by Walt Whitman.
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Sotheby's Fine Books, Manuscripts & More Available for Immediate Purchase
Sotheby's Fine Books, Manuscripts & More Available for Immediate Purchase
Sotheby’s: William Shakespeare. The Poems and Sonnets of William Shakespeare, 1960. 7,210 USD
Sotheby’s: Charles Dickens. A Christmas Carol, First Edition, 1843. 17,500 USD
Sotheby’s: William Golding. Lord of the Flies, First Edition, 1954. 5,400 USD
Sotheby's Fine Books, Manuscripts & More Available for Immediate Purchase
Sotheby’s: Lewis Carroll. Through the Looking Glass and What Alice Found There, Inscribed First Edition, 1872. 25,000 USD
Sotheby’s: J.R.R. Tolkien. The Hobbit, First Edition, 1937. 12,000 USD
Sotheby’s: John Milton. Paradise Lost, 1759. 5,400 USD