Rare Book Monthly

Articles - April - 2013 Issue

The Market versus the Book

The weekly auction update is our effort to separate the long-term history of books [and manuscripts, maps and ephemera] from the ever-changing immediate market for them. There’s a tendency to think of material having a projectable consistent trajectory in terms of price based on its auction history. The markets for stock market equities and real estate vary, and so does the market for printed material. On top of this market variation, there are around 200 auction venues, in effect two hundred stock exchanges, and few do business the same way. The weekly auction update allows our members to track both the broad market and the auctions comprising the week’s reported outcomes.

For both potential buyers and sellers, the auction data provides insight into how the different auction houses do business. The data fields in the weekly auction spreadsheet are sortable, top to bottom (one click on the column header) and bottom to top (two clicks). Houses that consistently sell a high percentage of lots have priced items attractively and aggressively sought out bidders, while houses that routinely sell a low percentage of lots are usually placing estimates higher than bidder interest and perhaps have not done enough to generate a bidding audience. If houses are moving 70%+ of their items, their lots are priced to sell.  If they are selling more than 80% of their lots, they are doing a lot of things right. Houses that far exceed their total high estimates either have consigners that are strongly committed, or the house is providing reserves and low estimates that are modest enough to encourage broad bidding. The gold standard is a sale that achieves an exceptionally high value relative to the high estimates, and sells virtually all lots. This makes for very happy consigners and a very happy auction house, and it happens often enough.  When the sale also breaches the million-dollar level the event is exceptional.

Having this kind of working knowledge of who does what in the auction business is a boon for both sellers and buyers. For sellers, deciding what auction house to sell through used to be a matter of recommendation and reputation. These old methodologies still apply, but hard numbers add a more precise, scientific layer to the approach. And for buyers? Deciding how much to bid is an art that becomes a science with the addition of knowledge and experience. These weekly reports give a sense of how the market functions week to week.  Paid AE members who use these reports while signed in can turn the default 7-day report into an up to 90 day analysis where trends become clearer.  That said, fair warning, these days that’s 175 auctions and the number grows every year.

For those looking for further information, we also provide annual reports updated every month or two as final sale results are recorded.  These reports are found under Quick Links on the auction pages inside the Charts and Analyses link.

If you are not already receiving our email "Weekly Auction Updates" and would like to receive them, you may sign up at the following link: www.americanaexchange.com/AE/Auctions/AuctionResultSignUp.aspx

To view the "Recent Auctions Spreadsheet," click "Upcoming Auctions" from the toolbar at the top of this page, and then "Recent Auctions Spreadsheet" from the "Quick Links" to the right. Alternatively, you can click the following link: www.americanaexchange.com/AE/Auctions/ArchivedAuctions.aspx

Rare Book Monthly

  • Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Letter Signed ("Martinus Luther") to His Friend the Theologian Gerhard Wiskamp ("Gerardo Xantho Lampadario"). $100,000 - $150,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: An Exceptionally Fine Copy of Austenís Emma: A Novel in Three Volumes. $40,000 - $60,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Presentation Copy of Ernest Hemmingwayís A Farewell to Arms for Edward Titus of the Black Mankin Press. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Manuscript Signed Integrally for "The Songs of Pooh," by Alan Alexander. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Manuscript of "Three Fragments from Gˆtterd‰mmerung" by Richard Wagner. $30,000 - $50,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Original Preliminary Artwork, for the First Edition of Snow Crash. $20,000 - $30,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Letter Signed ("T.R. Malthus") to Economist Nassau Senior on Wealth, Labor and Adam Smith. $20,000 - $30,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: History of the Peloponnesian War by Thucydides Finely Bound by Michael Wilcox. $20,000 - $30,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: First Edition of Lewis and Clark: Travels to the Source of the Missouri River and Across the American Continent to the Pacific Ocean. $8,000 - $12,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Original Artwork for the First Edition of Neal Stephenson's Groundbreaking Novel Snow Crash. $100,000 - $150,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: A Complete Set Signed Deluxe Editions of King's The Dark Tower Series by Stephen King. $8,000 - $12,000.
    Bonhams, Dec. 8-18: Autograph Letter Signed ("John Adams") to James Le Ray de Chaumont During the Crucial Years of the Revolutionary War. $8,000 - $12,000.
  • Sotheby’s
    Book Week
    December 9-17, 2025
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 12: Hooke, Robert. Micrographia: or some Physiological Descriptions of Minute Bodies made by Magnifying Glasses. London: James Allestry for the Royal Society, 1667. $12,000 to $15,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 12: Chappuzeau, Samuel. The history of jewels, first edition in English. London: T.N. for Hobart Kemp, 1671. $12,000 to $18,000.
    Sotheby’s, Dec. 12: Sowerby, James. Exotic Mineralogy, containing his most realistic mineral depictions, London: Benjamin Meredith, 1811, Arding and Merrett, 1817. $5,000 to $7,000.
  • Heritage Auctions
    Rare Books Signature Auction
    December 15, 2025
    Heritage, Dec. 15: John Donne. Poems, By J. D. With Elegies on the Author's Death. London: M[iles]. F[lesher]. for John Marriot, 1633.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Edgar Rice Burroughs. Tarzan of the Apes.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: F. Scott Fitzgerald. Tender is the Night. A Romance.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Bram Stoker. Dracula. Westminster: Archibald Constable & Co., 1897.
    Heritage, Dec. 15: Jerry Thomas. How to Mix Drinks, or the Bon-Vivant's Companion, Containing Clear and Reliable Directions for Mixing All the Beverages Used in the United States…
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